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SCOTUS Striking Down the Tariffs: A 6-3 Constitutional Reality Check

In a historic ruling that has sent shockwaves through Washington and global markets, the Supreme Court of the United States officially ruled today that President Trump’s sweeping global tariffs are illegal. The 6-3 decision marks the most significant legal defeat for the administration’s second-term economic agenda to date. The Core of the Ruling: Who Holds the Power? The case centered on the President's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) of 1977. The administration argued that trade deficits and border issues constituted a national emergency, allowing for unilateral import taxes. However, Chief Justice John Roberts, writing for the majority, made the court's stance clear: "The Framers did not vest any part of the taxing power in the Executive Branch." The Court ruled that the Constitution "very clearly" gives Congress , not the President, the authority to impose taxes and tariffs. While the President has broad emergency power...
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Why the AI Crash is a Gift for IT Investors ๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ’ป

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The headlines were screaming "System Failure" last week, but the data is starting to show a different story. While the Claude Crash and H-1B fears wiped out billions, today's 3% surge in Infosys and the 2% rally in Nifty IT represent a critical "System Reboot." For the Aggressive Contra Investor , the current correction is not a bug—it’s a feature. As Nomura recently pointed out, valuations have officially entered the "Value Zone" after a 21% crash from the peak. The "Logic" Behind the Bounce The Partnership Pivot: Infosys just announced a strategic "Agentic AI" collaboration with Anthropic . By integrating Claude models with Infosys Topaz , they aren't just fighting AI—they are automating the most complex workflows in telecom, finance, and manufacturing. Nomura’s "Value" Signal: Global brokerage Nomura believes fears of AI-led disruption are oversimplifying the deep, essential role of IT services. At current lev...
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Morning Commentary Feb 16, 2026: Nifty Opening, IT Recovery, and Summer Stocks to Watch

Good morning! As we step into the trading session for February 16, 2026 , the market is showing a "Low-Latency" start with a mildly bearish bias. With global markets taking a pause, today’s action will be driven by domestic themes and tactical sector rotations. The Market Snapshot Gift Nifty: Currently signaling a gap-down opening, trading around 25,457.50 (-61.30 points) . Expect Nifty to test its immediate support zones early in the session. US Markets Closed: Tonight is Presidents' Day in the US, so Wall Street will be shuttered. Expect lower volumes and no overseas cues for our Tuesday opening. Expiry Week: We are entering Monthly Expiry week . Be extremely cautious with naked option positions; Theta (time decay) will be aggressive as we approach Thursday. Sectoral Logic & Key Themes 1. The IT "Reboot" (Short Covering) After a brutal "Claude Crash" and H-1B related carnage last week, we saw some signs of life on Friday afternoon. Tech Mahi...
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BSE, Angel One, เค”เคฐ MCX เค•े เคถेเคฏเคฐ्เคธ เค†เคœ เค•्เคฏों เค—िเคฐे? RBI เค•े เคจเค เคจिเคฏเคฎों เค•ा เคชूเคฐा เคตिเคถ्เคฒेเคทเคฃ ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ›‘

เค†เคœ เคฆเคฒाเคฒ เคธ्เคŸ्เคฐीเคŸ เคชเคฐ เคเค• เคฌเคก़ा "เคธिเคธ्เคŸเคฎ เค…เคชเคกेเคŸ" เคฆेเค–เคจे เค•ो เคฎिเคฒा। BSE, Angel One, เค”เคฐ MCX เคœैเคธे เคฎाเคฐ्เค•ेเคŸ เค‡ंเคซ्เคฐाเคธ्เคŸ्เคฐเค•्เคšเคฐ เค”เคฐ เคฌ्เคฐोเค•िंเค— เคถेเคฏเคฐ्เคธ เคฎें 10% เคคเค• เค•ी เคญाเคฐी เค—िเคฐाเคตเคŸ เคฆเคฐ्เคœ เค•ी เค—เคˆ। เค‡เคธ เค—िเคฐाเคตเคŸ เค•ा เคฎुเค–्เคฏ เค•ाเคฐเคฃ เคนै RBI เคฆ्เคตाเคฐा 13 เคซเคฐเคตเคฐी เค•ो เค˜ोเคทिเคค เค•िเค เค—เค Capital Market Exposure (CME) เค•े เคธंเคถोเคงिเคค เคจिเคฏเคฎ, เคœो 1 เค…เคช्เคฐैเคฒ, 2026 เคธे เคฒाเค—ू เคนोंเค—े। เคเค• เคธॉเคซ्เคŸเคตेเคฏเคฐ เค‡ंเคœीเคจिเคฏเคฐ เค”เคฐ เค…เคฒ्เค—ो เคŸ्เคฐेเคกเคฐ เค•े เคฐूเคช เคฎें, เคฎैं เค‡เคธे เคฌाเคœाเคฐ เค•े "เคฒिเค•्เคตिเคกिเคŸी เค•เคฐ्เคจเคฒ" (Liquidity Kernel) เคฎें เคเค• เคฌเคก़ा เคฌเคฆเคฒाเคต เคฎाเคจเคคा เคนूँ। เค†เค‡เค เคธเคฎเคเคคे เคนैं เค•ि เค†เค–िเคฐ เค•्เคฏा เคฌเคฆเคฒा เคนै เค”เคฐ เค‡เคธเค•ा เค†เคช เคชเคฐ เค•्เคฏा เค…เคธเคฐ เคนोเค—ा। เค•्เคฏा เคฌเคฆเคฒाเคต เคนुเค เคนैं? (The Core Update) RBI เคจे เคฌैंเค•ों เคฆ्เคตाเคฐा เคฌ्เคฐोเค•เคฐ्เคธ เค•ो เคฆिเค เคœाเคจे เคตाเคฒे เค•เคฐ्เคœ เค•े เคจिเคฏเคฎों เค•ो เคฌเคนुเคค เคธเค–्เคค เค•เคฐ เคฆिเคฏा เคนै: 100% เค•ोเคฒैเคŸเคฐเคฒ เค…เคจिเคตाเคฐ्เคฏ (100% Collateral): เค…เคฌ เคฌैंเค•ों เค•ो เคฌ्เคฐोเค•เคฐ्เคธ เค•ो เค•्เคฐेเคกिเคŸ เคฆेเคจे เค•े เคฒिเค เคชूเคฐी เคคเคฐเคน เคธे เคธुเคฐเค•्เคทिเคค (Fully Secured) เค•ोเคฒैเคŸเคฐเคฒ เคฒेเคจा เคนोเค—ा। เคชเคนเคฒे เค•ुเค› เค—ाเคฐंเคŸी เคฌिเคจा เคธिเค•्เคฏोเคฐिเคŸी เค•े เคญी เคšเคฒ เคœाเคคी เคฅी, เคฒेเค•िเคจ เค…เคฌ เคตो "เคกेเคช्เคฐिเค•ेเคŸ" (Deprecate) เค•เคฐ เคฆी เค—เคˆ เคนैं। 40% เคนेเคฏเคฐเค•เคŸ (40% Haircut): เค…เค—เคฐ เค•ोเคˆ เคฌ्เคฐोเค•เคฐ เค•ोเคฒैเคŸเคฐเคฒ เค•े เคฐूเคช เคฎें เคถेเคฏเคฐ เคฆेเคคा เคนै, เคคो เคฌैंเค• เค‰เคธเค•ी เคตैเคฒ...
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BSE Share Crash: Why Jefferies Predicts a 10% Earnings Hit from New RBI Norms! ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿš️

The market is reacting sharply today, February 16, 2026 , as capital market stocks like BSE, Angel One, and Groww have plummeted up to 10% in early trade. The trigger is a combination of a new Jefferies report and the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) aggressive crackdown on speculative funding. While you previously projected a target of 3400–3500+ for BSE, the "Source Code" of the market has just been updated with new regulatory constraints. 1. The Jefferies "10% Earnings Leak" Jefferies has released a fresh assessment estimating that the latest RBI norms will hit 10-12% of BSE's options turnover . The Math: Because derivatives now form a massive chunk of BSE's revenue (₹784 crore in Q3 FY26), a 10% drop in turnover translates directly to a ~10% hit on the bottom line (EPS) . Why the hit? Jefferies believes the new "fully secured" lending model will reduce the "Leverage Budget" for high-frequency trading (HFT) and proprietary desks,...
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13th February The "Claude Crash" & The $3.6 Trillion Meltdown: A 90-Minute System Failure ๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ“‰

The markets didn't just correct today; they suffered a total system reboot. In a staggering 90-minute window on February 12, 2026, over $3.6 Trillion in global wealth evaporated. From the "Safe Havens" of Gold and Silver to the tech giants of the Nasdaq, everything was hit by a high-frequency liquidation wave. ​As a developer, I see this as the ultimate "Stress Test." The "Engineering Logic" that once held these valuations together has been rewritten by AI Disruption and Monetary Shockwaves. ​1. The "Safe Haven" Illusion: Gold & Silver Vaporized ​The biggest shock wasn't tech; it was the total collapse of the "Safety Layer." ​Gold: Plunged 3.76%, sliding below the psychological $5,000 mark and wiping out $1.34 Trillion. ​Silver: Suffered a catastrophic 8.5% dump, erasing $400 Billion in market cap. ​The Logic: This was a "Liquidity Flush." When tech stocks crashed, hedge funds faced massive margin calls. To raise c...
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IT Stocks Crash Feb 2026: How Trump's $100K H-1B fee and AI automation tools from Palantir/Anthropic are disrupting the Indian outsourcing model.

The IT sell-off today (February 12, 2026) is the culmination of a "Systemic Shock" caused by the Trump administration's radical shifts in H-1B policy. The Current Market Reality (Feb 12, 2026) The Nifty IT index has dived nearly 4% today, with heavyweights like Infosys, TCS, and Tech Mahindra leading the slide. While the "H-1B revocation" headlines are technically nuanced, the market is pricing in the $100,000 application fee and the Merit-Based Lottery overhaul that effectively "re-factors" the cost of doing business in the US. Why IT Stocks are Crashing The $100,000 "Entry Tax": The executive order imposing a $100,000 fee per new H-1B visa has essentially destroyed the cost-advantage model of Indian outsourcing. For a company like TCS or Wipro, sponsoring 1,000 new workers now costs an additional $100 million in fees alone. Merit-Based "Kernel" Update: The random lottery has been replaced with a Wage-Ranked Selection (eff...
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